Commentary: What’s Next in Social Networking?

Editor’s Note: Don’t think I need to define ‘Commentary,’ but every once in a while Rev2 writers have something to get off their chest which involves several personal references and opinion, so I figured they’d be better off with some amount of separation in the title (and yes, I did use 3 I’s in this sentence. Wait, that’s 4. ;-) )

Recently, social networking has turned into Pownce, Twitter, and Facebook for me. A few months ago, it would have been something different, like Bebo and MySpace. Before that, it would have been Orkut and Friendster. It’s apparent — the landscape keeps changing. So, what’s next?

I think there’s definitely a clear line to define between where the Silicon Valley crowd tends to hang out at (and followers, such as myself from around the world), and where ‘the rest’ hang out. Yes, it’s true, we’re usually the first ones to try out new things. That’s not surprising, of course, since we make them. It’s also true that the rest of the world usually follows our lead — or at least, they have with the past couple trends. All this leaves me to wonder one thing where we’ll turn to next — and where the rest of the world will follow to (or even if they’ll follow at all).

Certainly, looking at where things have been headed, Facebook has been the most recent culprit of a network effect. What’s interesting, of course, is that unlike MySpace, Orkut and Friendster which have peaked enormously in the past, Facebook had its start from the ground up, in a closed system, and with a niche and specialized demographic — that is, college students. Blame it on the broad vision of Mark Zuckerberg or the overall trend in Facebook getting popular and popular with its peeps, they’ve clearly expanded outward, and still have a long way to go — if their acquisition of Parakey points anywhere.

For some people, social networking is soon-to-be a replacement for e-mail. And when you come to think of it, it makes perfect sense. E-mail has one simple goal: to get your message across to anyone in the world, in any given place with access to the Internet, at any given time, in a matter of seconds. Whether it’s used to run a business or write a letter to your grandmother is solely dependant on the user, but the main point of e-mail is to connect people. If we look at social networking, on the other hand, it’s obvious — we’re talking about something with the same goal, and arguably with a hundred times better purpose to fit that goal.

So, this brings me to my main point. What’s next? Having lived through trends in the past, I’d have to think it’d be something big, something broad, something world-changing (hint: not another social network), and something completely different to what we’ve ever seen. As much as we’d like to see social networks replace e-mail, the main reason e-mail has worked is because, let’s admit it, it’s a worldwide standard. There’s no one player, and there’s no one domain everyone who uses the technology has to visit a hundred times a day. It’s broad, and it’s natural. So why not this for social networking, which basically exists to fulfill the idea of connecting people but so far as we know it is one of the most closed, proprietary things in the world? I’m sure Zuckerberg’s working on it.

Most Commented

  • I think the "virtual world" sites are gonna hit it big in social networking. But most people are afraid of it because they think its "weird" or it will make them "uncool". But those kinds of websites have never been in the spotlight. But I think its pretty cool once you get embarrassment aside. So if it gets a bigger crowd the excitement over those websites are gonna take those kinds of websites straight to the top. Or maybe strictly blogging sites will take over.
  • Hi Josh! Yeah, Social Network Fatigue is probably just the first presentable symptoms of a total whole-body seizure.

    It's just impossible to have a meaningful presence everywhere, so I try to concentrate on just those social venues that have the right kind of people I'd like to be around.

    It's not so much the traffic a venue gets, or whether it's the most cool. Like all social circles, it's the people that count...
  • Josh Miller
    @Sid - I think you're talking about the move to make Google apps Coroporate ... just think of gmail and google talk integration....

    @Wayne - Social Network Fatigue? Isn't this just the beginning?!
  • Hi Sid! I've been writing about the direction of Social Networking quite a bit myself recently.

    I think I've identified a new illness: Social Networking Fatigue. The damn thing is everywhere, like a rash!

    But seriously, if there's to be more Social Networks, we need someone to get a grip of the personal profile side of things.

    I used OpenID as a possible standard bearer, but it could be someone else.

    Additionally, what if StumbleUpon or Facebook merged with Second Life?
  • Josh,
    You mention one of the points I forgot to mention in the post (the fact that Facebook, and others, incorporate versions of private note messaging), and I think this very thing answers your argument about private communication.

    It's almost hard to believe that we're still making use of something invented 30 years ago in terribly busy business environments. Instead of advancing it, we've come across workarounds. We make folders. We label things. We colour-code. We group together. And all for what? As an alternative, I'll ask you this -- how cool would it be if a business ran on its own super enterprise social network? An internal private messaging system which replaces e-mail, corporate hierarchy's, groups and communities within the business, an event planner, wikis, IM client which integrates, so many things!

    I think this is a place where a lot of innovation is left to be done. This doesn't mean the death of e-mail, however, which I think will always exist in some way, shape or form, but infact, if someone can figure out a way to combine those together they'll have a lot of opportunity to take over the business communication market (a web-based e-mail client which doubles as a super social network with IM client, perhaps?)

    Sid
  • Josh Miller
    "but the main point of e-mail is to connect people."

    Sid -- I disagree, I think the main point is to communicate. And usually that communication is private. Though, Twitter (super short blog posting) and Instant Messaging do come close to getting rid of email, I don't see email dying out. Even the social applications like Facebook incorporate multiple versions of private note passing.

    Josh
  • nick
    full integration with users mobiles so they text messages will be a thing of the past.

    voip over the 'mobile web' through facebook too.
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