Prediction #1: The melding of social and interest groups with commerce to create a new level of social-interest-based e-commerce. Think of it as Match.com meets eBay, but without all of the dating and hidden shipping costs. One of the companies on the forefront of this trend is Quora, which will probably have its day this year.
Prediction #2: Mobile social photo and video will meet geo-location and become the most popular way to not just “check in,” but to interact and share with social networks. Photos can already be shared on check-in using Foursquare, but video has not really entered the geo-location scene. That will probably happen this year as software catches up with most mobile devices’ ability to publish directly to sites like YouTube.
Prediction #3: A large number of people will be able to pay by cell phone. Every major cell phone maker and many app-makers are focusing on mobile payments. These allow your cell phone to become a sort of credit card, letting you purchase items at the store by using your phone rather than a card. This will begin to really take off this year, I think, because big names like Apple and Google are already buying up companies that work on this technology.
Prediction #4: Streaming video will be available nearly everywhere on many devices. This is a kind of no-brainer prediction, since it’s already happening now and only trending faster. Streaming video is available on most cell phone platforms now, can be used on a few televisions (more are coming in 2011), and you can Netflix or YouTube just about everywhere it seems. Up until now, though, this has really just been for the technological elites. I see it coming to the masses in 2011 with tons of new devices entering Walmart and other common stores.
Prediction #5: You will become addicted to Rev2. You will subscribe to the RSS feed and visit the site daily. This prediction may not be much of a prognostication since you’ve probably already fulfilled it. It’s fate. Go with it.