Mobile Advertising: Intent 2.0

I have been a skeptic of the mobile platform for quite some time — specifically, mobile advertising and how effective it really is. But recently after watching Robert Scoble’s interview with Omar Hamoui, founder and CEO of AdMob, I’m convinced the platform will be a significant contender of ad dollars and perhaps the most effective/helpful/useful advertising platform in the future. There’s something huge happening here — and I’ve only just caught on to it.

Why Search Advertising Works
First, let’s back up a few steps and see why Google’s bread and butter — contextual search ads — is so effective. In one word, the reason is intent. When people search for something, they are essentially looking for something. More specifically, amidst their quest, they’re granting their search engine to guide them there. Notice that this is much, much different from “Just put Lost back already!” or “Oh, that’s nice. Nike has a new pair of shoes out and it syncs with iPod” or worse still, “Ok, random and annoying Win iPods Instantly site, I just want to Super Wall my friend“.

The intent is most of the times connected to monetary potential, in that the searcher is looking to buy something, or for a service they need, or a guide to something. Connect that with an online shoe store or a digital camera repair service that gives upto a 30% discount — and bingo. You have a clickthrough 5% of the time, you have a purchase 5% of the time, and the advertiser is happy, giving Google another 5 months more access into their knee-deep pockets. And that’s why Sergey Brin can afford to have a marriage in the Bahamas.

Why Mobile Advertising Could Work Better
So, what do you get when you take intent — the core of search advertising
— a step further? Need. And in one word, that is why mobile advertising may prove to be more valuable, effective, useful, and helpful than search advertising.

When I’m visiting San Francisco next time, and I’m in town, hungry for some Pizza, finding a good Pizza place is not going to be my intent, it’s going to be my need. And when I’m doing some hunting on the iPhone and come across an ad that says “Best Pizza in San Francisco — 3 Blocks Away! Click here to pinpoint location,” you can assume a happy $30 customer in the next 15 minutes at that very moment.

Similarly, one of the AdMob ad demos that is shown in the Scoble interview is that of Starbucks on the iPhone (embedded below). Arguably, this is better than my example above. In an ordinary mobile portal page, an ad on the top says “I see Starbucks in your future.” The user clicks the ad, which drops down to a textbox asking for a zipcode. The user enters one (in the future, GPS could very well replace this), and up pops the iPhone Google Maps application showing all Starbucks locations in the entered zip code. BINGO! Advertising, usefulness, and intuitiveness to its best — Starbucks has a new customer.

Conclusion
Certainly I’m no genius, and the possibilities here seem very clear even to me. If not clear, certain. Advertising works best where there is intent, desire, and need — and all three are more than present here. Obviously, not everywhere, and not on every single impression delivered, but watching the Scoble interview where CEO Omar Hamoui sets up a simple ad for a photo sharing website and gets 100 clicks and thousands of impressions within a couple of minutes time, it certainly seems more effective that what we’ve seen on the web.

To sum up, keep your eyes out for players like AdMob and the mobile landscape in general, because the emergence of local, mobile, and advertising is going to bring together a wholly new, different, and effective platform for advertising — and shake up some markets no doubt — to create the most effective advertising platform ever. The question is, when?

RescueTime: Where Does Your Computing Time Go?

For the last couple of days, I’ve been vigorously trying out a range of productivity tools. Given that I’m going to be at home for the next couple of weeks — I figured it wouldn’t be such a bad idea to get some work done. :-) So when a couple of friends Twittered about RescueTime, I was immediately curious. With buzz words like “web-based time management” lurking their homepage I anticipated another project management web app with the to-do list and time tracker and the usual feature-full things that are supposed to make me more productivity, but it’s something completely different.

Founded by Tony Wright after selling his AJAXy job search engine Jobby to Jobster in May 2006, the project has raised funding from Y Combinator and goes after the idea of “ridiculously easy time management.” We wrote last year about Wakoopa, a service that tracks your software usage a la Last.fm for music, and while similar, RescueTime takes the concept a step further: instead of just telling you, it wants to make your more productive with this data.

The way that the service works is that users sign up, and install the RescueTime tracker utility for their OS (Windows and Mac both supported.) RescueTime then sits silently in your system bar (or taskbar in Windows), watches, and reports back to its servers as you spend countless hours answering e-mail and watching stupid funny videos on YouTube.

Let it do its thing for a day or so, and you get this in your RescueTime dashboard:

Perfect! Now the whole world knows how much time I spend watching useless celebrity gossip channels on Slingplayer. :-)

But of course, the tool doesn’t end there. Once you’ve collected a slew of data, RescueTime lets you tag particular applications and categorize them in this way (i.e. work, personal, media, useless, etc.) And here’s the cool part — you can then use these tags to set up special goals and alerts for yourself when you’re spending more time than you need to on them. For example, I set up a goal stating, “I want to spend less than 3 hours per day on entertainment.” Now I can subscribe to an RSS feed or get RescueTime to SMS my phone everytime I’m over my goal limit.

Undoubtedly, RescueTime is one of the coolest and most intuitive time management utilities I’ve tried out. What makes it so is its core idea of “ridiciously easy” and “no data entry needed.” Additionally, for the first time, computer users can finally measure their real productivity and act on them — as opposed to constantly training their mind to “watch less YouTube videos” or “stay out of Facebook.” For the value it provides, I’d definitely pay for such a tool, too, if that’s the direction they want to take for the future.

7 Hottest Unacquired Web Startups

Back in April last year, we did a list titled the “10 Most Successful Startups to Date.” The list outlined what were, at the time, the most successful startups by perseverance. When we looked to doing a version 2.0, we noticed a funny thing: most of those startups — at least the ones that haven’t been sold yet, and a bunch of new ones — now had actual estimated valuations surrounding them.

Call it thin-air, call it bubble, call it hype — here are the current 7 hottest unacquired web startups, as ranked by the thin-air that surrounds them.

1. Facebook

ESTIMATED VALUATION: $15 billion
REASONING: $240 million investment from Microsoft at $15 billion valuation (see our coverage)

Launched: February 2004
Founded by: Mark Zuckerberg
Type: Social Network

Traffic: 15 billion pageviews/month
Funding: $338 million

2. Slide

ESTIMATED VALUATION: $550 million
REASONING: Rumored valuation of last funding round (see VentureBeat).

Launched: August 2005
Founded by: Max Levchin
Type: Widgets

Traffic: 200 million+ widget installations, 20 million+ uniques/month (QuantCast)
Funding: $58 million

3. RockYou

ESTIMATED VALUATION: $400 million
REASONING: Rumoured valuation of rumoured Morgan Stanley investment (see BoomTown).

Launched: 2006
Founded by: Jia Chien & Lance Tokuda
Type: Widgets

Traffic: 180 million widget views, 7.5 million+ uniques/month (QuantCast)
Funding: $16.5 million

4. Digg

ESTIMATED VALUATION: $300 million
REASONING: Rumoured “asking” price (see our post, TechCrunch, and Valleywag)

Launched: December 2004
Founded by: Kevin Rose
Type: Social Bookmarking/Content Discovery

Traffic: 208 million pageviews/month (September 2007, Compete)
Funding: $11.3 million (Series A + Series B)

5. Twitter

ESTIMATED VALUATION: $100 million
REASONING: $20 million pre-money as of July 2007, inflating with market valuations and Twitter’s growth spurts since April 2007.

Launched: July 2006
Founded by: Obvious Inc.
Type: Micro-blogging/Social Network

Approximate Traffic: 1.2 million uniques/month (Comscore)
Funding: $4.8 million (Series B)

6. Mahalo

ESTIMATED VALUATION: $100 million
REASONING: Rumoured pre-valuation of last funding round (see PaidContent).

Launched: March 2007
Founded by: Jason Calacanis
Type: Search Engine

Traffic: 4.1 million uniques/month
Funding: $16 million

7. Technorati

ESTIMATED VALUATION: < $100 million
REASONING: Market position, traffic, growth, future prospects — and the fact that no blog player has yet exceeded a $100 million valuation.

Launched: January 2005
Founded by: Dave Sifry
Type: Blog Search Engine/Content Discovery

Traffic: 2.8 million unique visitors/month (Comscore)
Funding: $21.6 million (Series A, B, & C)

What Up, Rev?

For the last few weeks I’ve been excessively busy with my everyday life, travelling, all while spearheading the early stages of a startup, so I want to first and foremost apologize for our inactiveness in posting on Rev2.  After just having visited the S.F. Bay Area and L.A., I’m currently in Washington D.C. where I should probably be for the next 2 - 3 weeks. So, as I temporarily begin to settle down, I’m going to attempt bringing back Rev2 to a “working” order by catching up on the hundreds of requests I’ve collected over the last few weeks, and hopefully gaining a momentum on news/analysis in the land of Web 2.0 (if we still call it that!).

Zach, who is my Associate Editor, will be helping me — he has, in the last few weeks, recorded highly in-depth interviews with a number of highly-ranked executives from category-leading 2.0 companies, including Zoho, Pageflakes, RockYou and others. He’ll be rolling these out in an “in-depth analysis” format to give readers an insight into the past, present, and future of these momentum-gaining former-startups, all of which are really interesting and even from a non-user’s perspective, give a great idea of what 2008 will have in stock for consumer Internet companies.

So, I hope you stick around and give it a little chance before finally scrambling for the “Unsubscribe” button. Oh, and one more thing, I’ve been lightly working on a rebranding/redesign of the site for the last few weeks, in preparing for a Feb 2008 overhaul, so be sure to look out for that — a little early knowledge, I know, but don’t we all love Apple keynotes? (my prediction: a brand new Apple TV.)